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TT#182 - Super Tuesday

I yanked this graphic from http://fivethirtyeight.com/politics/ Check them out :-)

I should have done a bit on educating you about what Super Tuesday is, but I have been watching the results all night. I have been in multiple discussions about how Hillary is running away with the day and the election and alternatively how Bernie is still in it an has done better than was anticipate. I have been reminded that Hillary did well on a Super Tuesday in 2008, and yet failed to get the nomination. I have many thoughts about how the DNC vice chair resigned and supported Bernie. I have a lot of conflicting thoughts on all of the things I am seeing and hearing and reconciling them with what I know and learning what I do not yet understand. This is tiring on a mental level, like watching what you love have to run away and work on it's own without your assistance. There is a grand futility in this torment, watching the polls come in for states you are not a citizen of. And... then there is the runaway that is Donald Trump. Donald looks to be running away with 7 states, 8 most likely when Alaska wraps up. 

But even with all the rhetoric, this is far from done for the DNC.  For the GOP, it is becoming far more certain that they will be left with Donald J. Trump as their candidate. 

Hillary took 7 states. Bernie looks to be taking 4.  That is not decisive. Texas and Virginia hurt, due to their populations, but neither was unexpected. With awarded delegates, Hillary has 508 and Bernie has 295. That's a difference of 213. Factor their pledged Super Delegates, which can still change,  Hillary has 881, Bernie has 484, a difference of 397. There are 4,765 delegates available, and you need 2383 to win. Hillary still needs 1,502 to take it away. There is a long road ahead for these two. 

As for the GOP, they have a different number of delegates. In order to win the 2016 Republican presidential nomination, a candidate must win 1,237 delegates at the national convention (this figure is current as of March 02, 2016). Currently, there are expected to be a total of 2,472 delegates at the Republican National Convention. Trump has 221 plus the 139 GOP equivalent Super Delegates,  So without Alaska, he has 360 delegates. He needs 877 to take it.  We shall see if more candidates drop out this week.